Called $COPPER bullish on Apr 18, 2025: $COPPER rose 20% in 3 months.
View call →
Commodities | Stocks | FX | Macro Value + Momentum. Finding asymmetric setups at cycle lows. My investment letter ↓ Not advice.
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked the directional calls on IWM by @ValueSeeker_ on X since Mar 2025: not yet scored on IWM (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Other assets covered (12)
4 IWM calls on record, a thin history.
Relative view by default: fewer than 30 IWM calls or days on record.
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @ValueSeeker_ to submit corrections.
Called $COPPER bullish on Apr 18, 2025: $COPPER rose 20% in 3 months.
View call →Hover the chart to read the thesis of that period · click a day to pin it
SMALL-CAPS - STILL CHEAP Small-caps remains undervalued relative to large ones, as this small-to-large-caps ratio shows. Indeed, trading almost 2 standard deviations below its long-term trend, the ratio suggests that small-caps offer the best risk-reward. While from here getting back to its long-term trend would imply a 37% outperformance for small-caps, reaching tis former top level (+1.5σ) would bring it to 70%. $IWM
View original →MAKING SENSE OF THIS MARKET SELL-OFF Nasdaq down 6.5% in a day, worries about earnings’ sustainability... Are fears justified? How could investors stay exposed while improving their portfolio’s risk-reward? Summary: • Elevated and rising earnings - Sustainable? • Valuation multiples still matter. • A simple alternative. Link in description below ↓ $VOO $IWM $RSP
View original →NASDAQ 100 - 10% LOWER As the Nasdaq 100 is selling off, re-reading the note below might be helpful to understand the situation. Indeed, one should remember that: • 2 thirds of the Nasdaq 100's return since 2010 has been due to P/E expansion rather than earning growth (responsible for the other third). • While the index (adjusted for money supply) is down 15% from its highs (10% since the note below was published), it still trades more than 3 standard deviations above its long-term trend, where its risk-reward isn't positive. Hopefully, one can be in the market without having to get exposed to big tech. Indeed, there are other segments still trading at modest valuations, such as small-caps, value, EMs, and commodity producers. While in case of crash those would most likely be shaken too, they should recover faster than overpriced assets, what allows me to sleep well. $QQQ $VOO $VTV
View original →S&P500 - TIME TO BE SELECTIVE The US index, adjusted for money supply, is now trading 2 standard deviations above its long-term trend, where its risk-reward is fairly negative. Indeed, while reaching 2.75σ (DotCom top level) would generate a +5% additional return, getting back to its former bottom level would imply a 75% downside move. While those are 2 extremes, this gives an idea on where the risk lies. Hopefully, not all market segments are currently expensive as factors such as small-cap and value remain affordable. Opportunistic investors can choose to broaden their horizon beyond the sole S&P500. $VOO $VTV $IWM
View original →ON SMALL CAP VALUE STOCKS Extract from my June 2026 article: "We have seen here how “simply” playing with this factor could enhance investors’ long-term returns as it would have allowed, for 1987-2026 period, a massive 540% outperformance (or +4.8% annual excess return)." $IWM $VOO
View original →
