Traders' journal newsletter · The Daily Candle - by Crypto Banter
The Daily Candle is our traders' journal, offering a glimpse into their market moves—all for entertainment purposes only. This is not financial or trading advice, is not intended for UK residents, and by reading, you accept our disclaimer.
—Not ranked yet — fewer than 30 directional calls or no accuracy score · 710 calls · MethodologyNot yet ranked · 710 BTC calls since 2026
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked 710 directional calls on BTC by @dailycandle on Substack since Aug 2026: tracked, not yet ranked (below the accuracy-scoring baseline) (as of Oct 1, 2026).
Accurate In—Not enough data10+ calls, 6+ months required
Total Calls710Calls by sourceX0TradingView0Seeking Alpha0Sell-side Research0CryptoQuant0Other0A call is a post, idea, article or rating labelled bullish, bearish or neutral on a tracked asset.Sell-side ratings count as calls but never enter rankings or accuracy.
Cited— No press citations in the last 12 months
Total Bull/Bear542168
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @substack:dailycandle to submit corrections.
Thesis
No {asset} posts with a thesis between {from} and {to}.
Hover the chart to read the thesis of that period · click a day to pin it
🚨5 Key Levels as The bond Market Refused The Good News
A delayed hike did not ease the long end, and equities are trading that refusal.
None of this is financial advice. Do your own research. By reading this newsletter, you acknowledge and accept the terms and conditions outlined in our disclaimer .
Hey Traders,
The quarter did not open on a truce. Growth is at a five-year high, the October hike got pushed to December, and the 10-year still just had its worst quarter since 1994. The long end looked at that and sold it anyway. Equities followed the bonds. They did not lead them.
Oil cooled off the spike and never really cleared. Gulf barrels are moving again, Iran still has no deal, and the war premium is sitting in the range now instead of the headline. Crude is cheaper than Wednesday. It is not calm, and it is not done shoving yields around.
Bitcoin failed the mid-$80,000s and slipped back into the low $80,000s. The ETF streak broke after nine days of buying. Crypto is stuck on the same stack as stocks: a dollar breaking higher, a long end that will not ease, and a war that can reprice oil before the cash open. The bid is still there. It is just picky. Here is what we are watching.
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Today’s Charts:
Chart #1 – Lido Dao(LDOUSDT) 2-Hour
Chart #2 – Riot Platforms(RIOT) 6-Hour
Chart #3 – Immutable(IMXUSDT) 4-Hour
Chart #4 – Pendle(PENDLEUSDT) 8-Hour
Chart #5 – XAUUSD(XAU) 4-Hour
Chart #1 – Lido Dao(LDOUSDT) 2-Hour
Chartist: Chaoss
(For the chart screenshot, click here )
Trade idea to wait for LDO to dip down into the long support zone, diagonal trend, bullish liquidity zone and 0.618 pullback, which we have been to multiple times already. We have left room below the Vwap channel for the stop loss for a liquidity sweep too, targets based on horizontals, resistance areas, POC and a bearish liquidity zone. As we approach the lower order block we will look for a combination of a buy signal on chart, bullish divergence to print on the oscillator or a straight up curl and signs of selling exhaustion and engulfing marks on the candles.
Trade Levels:
Entry: $0.428
Stop Loss: $0.48
Take Profit Levels (TP):
TP1: $0.412
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Chart #2 – Riot Platforms(RIOT) 6-Hour
Chartist: The Nagel
(For the chart screenshot, click here )
(RIOT refers to the Stock of Riot Platforms and not a cryptocurrency.)
Looking to catch the dead cat bounce that could just be a bearish retest , so there is a gap that needs to be filled and the confluence in that same zone is the 100Day Ma , trendline , Vwap and Hacker zone 0.618
Trade Levels:
Entry: $14.72
Stop Loss: $13.5
Take Profit Levels (TP):
TP1: $23.64
Chart #3 – Immutable(IMXUSDT) 4-Hour
Chartist: Trader J
(For the chart screenshot, click here )
Looking for a long on IMX after creating a higher high and breaking above the previous resistance around 0.1458, as well as reclaiming the 200-day SMA. I’m looking for a bullish retest into the 200-day + 0.618 Hacker Zone, with the 50-day and 100-day SMAs crossing and curling higher below, supporting the bullish momentum.
Trade Levels:
Entry: $ 0.1460
Stop Loss: $0.1381
Take Profit Levels (TP):
TP1: $0.1592
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Chart #4 – Pendle(PENDLEUSDT) 8-Hour
Chartist: Colab
(For the chart screenshot, click here )
Looking for a wave 4 pull back here , using the fib tool we can see the wave 4 landing zone , the 0.5 looks more appealing as we have the 50Day Ma as confluence as well as some Horizontal support from the previous peak
Trade Levels:
Entry: $2.079
Uptober is five days away. The bond market is already setting the terms.
None of this is financial advice. Do your own research. By reading this newsletter, you acknowledge and accept the terms and conditions outlined in our disclaimer .
Hey Traders,
The tape is digesting a growth shock, not a truce. Washington rolled the China deal into January, but a hot PMI print kept the easy-Fed story dead. Yields are still rising at home and abroad. Equities are drifting with duration, not leading it.
Oil faded after Thursday’s spike as diplomacy headlines mixed with Middle East supply risk. Crude is off the highs. It is not cheap, and it is not settled. Xi’s Washington visit bought time on tariffs. It did not take the war premium out of energy.
Bitcoin is holding the low $80,000s after failing the recent high. ETFs are still buying even as price stalls, while policy talk around a strategic reserve and tokenized collateral sits against another exchange hack. Crypto is trading the same stack as stocks: tighter-for-longer policy, a bond market that will not ease, and geopolitics that can reprice oil in a session. The risk bid is selective. It has not rolled over. Here is what we are watching.
Poll of the Day ( Presented by Rain Trade ) 🎯
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Today’s Charts:
Chart #1 – Lighter(LTCUSDT) 1-Day
Chart #2 – Morpho(MORPHOUSDT) 1-Day
Chart #3 – Aerodrome (AEROUSDT) 4-Hour
Chart #4 – Worldcoin(WLDUSDT) 1-Day
Chart #5 – Rocket Lab(RKLB) 1-Day
Chart #1 – Lighter(LTCUSDT) 1-Day
Chartist: Kapoor
(For the chart screenshot, click here )
Lighter is executing an ascending structural retest following a multi-month trend expansion out of its consolidation floor, absorbing pullbacks above the $3.8842 horizontal support shelf to trade near $4.8504 on the daily timeframe. Operating as a high-performance decentralized perpetual futures exchange built as an application-specific zero-knowledge rollup on Ethereum, Lighter delivers CEX-grade execution speed with sub-millisecond order matching, verifiable on-chain settlement via zk-SNARKs, and zero trading fees for retail participants. This long trade setup targets an upward expansion toward the $6.2442 overhead resistance target as long as the $3.0152–$3.8842 support base holds.exhaustion.
Trade Levels:
Entry: $3.89
Stop Loss: $3.01
Take Profit Levels (TP):
TP1: $6.22
Powerful narratives create powerful moves. With 247 Research , you get the insights to be early to the biggest trends in crypto.
Chart #2 – Morpho(MORPHOUSDT) 1-Day
Chartist: Kapoor
(For the chart screenshot, click here )
Morpho has initiated an impulsive bullish expansion following a rounded bottom recovery off the $2.032 base, breaking out to retest local structure near $2.812 on the daily timeframe. Built on Ethereum as a permissionless, governance-minimized lending primitive, Morpho Blue separates core infrastructure from risk curation, allowing users to deploy isolated, immutable credit markets with custom oracles and liquidation parameters alongside risk-managed Morpho Vaults. This long trade setup targets an upward expansion toward the $2.971 overhead resistance target as long as the $2.032–$2.313 support base holds.
Trade Levels:
Entry: $2.3
Stop Loss: $2.0
Take Profit Levels (TP):
TP1: $2.9
Chart #3 – Aerodrome (AEROUSDT) 4-Hour
Chartist: Kapoor
(For the chart screenshot, click here )
Aerodrome has executed an impulsive breakout above its multi-week consolidation range, establishing buyer absorption above the $0.7051 horizontal pivot to trade near $0.7802 on the 4-hour timeframe. Serving as the central automated market maker (AMM) and primary liquidity hub on Coinbase's Base Layer-2 network, Aerodrome utilizes a vote-escrowed tokenomics model (veAERO) adapted from Velodrome to direct protocol emissions, incentivize liquidity pools, and distribute 100% of trading fees to participants. This long trade setup targets an upward expansion toward the $0.9328 overhead resistance target as long as the $0.63