Called $BTC bullish on Jan 12, 2024: $BTC rose 67% in 2 months.
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Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked 11 directional calls by @SunflowrQuant on CryptoQuant since Dec 2023: tracked, not yet ranked (below the accuracy-scoring baseline) (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Called $BTC bullish on Jan 12, 2024: $BTC rose 67% in 2 months.
View call →BTC Price Rises While NVT Golden Cross Falls: What Does It Mean?
Bitcoin's price is on the rise, yet the NVT Golden Cross indicator is surprisingly moving downward. Typically, as prices rise, the NVT ratio is expected to move upward since it measures the relationship between network transactions and market value. However, the current decline in NVT during a price increase indicates a stronger and faster-than-expected growth in Bitcoin's on-chain transaction volume. This situation can be viewed positively by investors, suggesting that the price increase is supported by genuine economic activity rather than mere speculation. In other words, real users and actual financial transactions on the network are making this uptrend more sustainable. In conclusion, the current rise in BTC indicates a healthy market built on strong fundamentals. Such movements often point toward more lasting and stable long-term growth. Investors should closely monitor these indicators to better understand market trends.  
View original →Bitcoin Rally Accelerates: SSR’s MACD Crossover Signals Fresh Liquidity
As Bitcoin presses against the $111 000 band, market optimism is mounting, and the data layer just served up an encouraging sign: a bullish crossover in the Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) MACD. SSR gauges the market’s available “dry powder” by dividing Bitcoin’s market cap by the total stable-coin supply; when the ratio rises, fresh buying power is scarce. In recent weeks, SSR has already climbed to 18 —the top of its two-year range. Now the MACD has crossed above its signal line, a move that has historically preceded incoming liquidity and fresh rallies. While price is carving new highs, this “new fuel” signal is promising; still, unless we see expanding volume and SSR cooling back toward the 16–15 zone, the $113–115 k area looks attractive for profit-taking, whereas a weekly close below $99 k should be treated as a stop-loss trigger. Bottom line: a cautious-bull stance remains the most rational strategy in light of the data.  
View original →Long-Term Trends in the ETH/BTC Market and Future Perspective
The ETH/BTC market provides an in-depth look at the relationship between Ethereum and Bitcoin, as well as their developments in the derivatives markets. In 2021-2022, Ethereum’s strong performance against Bitcoin reflected increasing speculative interest and high activity in the derivatives market. During this period, Ethereum’s rise against Bitcoin was a clear signal of growing investor confidence in Ethereum. However, since 2023, both the open interest and price ratios have been on a downward trend, indicating that Ethereum has weakened against Bitcoin and interest in Ethereum in the perpetual futures market has declined. This points to a long-term depreciation in Ethereum’s value. By March 2025, the open interest ratio had fallen to 0.15 and the price ratio to 0.02, indicating that bearish sentiment dominates the ETH/BTC pair, with Ethereum losing significant value against Bitcoin. However, this decline could also be a sign of fear and uncertainty in the market. During such periods, where human emotions take over, recoveries can be rapid and surprising, especially in assets with low liquidity. Although interest in Ethereum has decreased for now, there is potential for a return to the conditions seen in 2021-2022, with a strong and sudden recovery that may surprise many. This process may present opportunities for Ethereum’s future. Emotional fluctuations and market fear could lead investors to act more cautiously and strategically. We may be at the foundations of new beginnings for Ethereum; just like in previous cycles, after tough times, a strong rebound may occur, reaching new highs. Looking at the price fluctuations in Ethereum, now could be the perfect time to be part of this transformative process. We are at the bottom of potential new beginnings and opportunities for ETH.  
View original →BTC Stablecoin Supply Ratio MACD and Price Movements: The Impact of Crossovers
The BTC Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) MACD is a powerful tool for analyzing Bitcoin’s price dynamics, helping to understand market sentiment and momentum. SSR measures the ratio of stablecoin supply to Bitcoin supply, reflecting investors’ risk appetite and liquidity flows. An increase in SSR indicates BTC selling pressure, while a decrease suggests buying pressure. MACD analyzes the difference between fast and slow moving averages to identify trend changes, with crossovers clarifying these shifts. Bullish crossovers (when the MACD line crosses above the signal line) signal upward (bullish) momentum. For example, as BTC’s price rose from 60,000 USD to nearly 100,000 USD, SSR MACD moving above the zero line indicated a strong upward trend. This reflects buying pressure from converting stablecoins to BTC. Investors may view these crossovers as buying opportunities, but they should be confirmed with volume, RSI, and support-resistance levels like other technical indicators. Bearish crossovers (when the MACD line crosses below the signal line) indicate downward (bearish) momentum. When BTC fluctuated between 20,000–30,000 USD, SSR MACD dropping into negative territory signaled a downward trend. This reflects a shift to stablecoins and selling pressure, which can be evaluated as a potential sell signal for risk management. While crossovers provide clear price movements, decisions should not rely solely on this data. They should be supported by fundamental analysis (news, regulations), volume data, and technical indicators, with risk minimized through strategies like stop-loss. When used correctly, SSR MACD can guide Bitcoin trend forecasting, but market volatility must always be considered.  
View original →Bitcoin NVT Golden Cross at a Critical Level: What’s Next?
NVT is a metric that compares Bitcoin’s price to its blockchain transaction volume. It can be seen as a test to determine whether Bitcoin is “overpriced or undervalued.” The Golden Cross, on the other hand, refers to a scenario where this indicator merges with certain moving averages to provide critical signals for investors. The NVT Golden Cross helps answer the question, “Is Bitcoin’s price above its fair value, or is it an attractive investment opportunity?” When the blue line rises above 2, it signals that Bitcoin’s price might be “overheated” and could pose a bubble risk. Conversely, when the line drops below -2, it is often considered a “buying opportunity.” The key takeaway in the current situation is to avoid making emotional decisions. With the blue line surpassing the critical threshold, adopting a cautious approach is advisable. However, it’s essential to remember that this indicator is just one tool. Every investor should conduct their own analysis and take steps aligned with their risk tolerance. Always bear in mind that assets like Bitcoin are highly volatile and carry significant risks. Being informed and patient remains your best guide to long-term success.  
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