Called $BTC bearish on Sep 7, 2021: $BTC fell 8.2% over the next 13 days.
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Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked 8 directional calls by @sashimi_nakamoto on CryptoQuant since Jun 2021: tracked, not yet ranked (below the accuracy-scoring baseline) (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Called $BTC bearish on Sep 7, 2021: $BTC fell 8.2% over the next 13 days.
View call →Further price decline follows liquidation cascades
Historically liquidations cascades in Bitcoin, and subsequent drop in OI, are followed by further price declines. This happens for a number of factors, including inability of exchanges to profitably dispose of liquidated assets. Major exchanges then dispose of liquidated assets gradually over time. Further price decline, possibly into 42-44k for BTC is likely given this historical context.  
View original →Buyer-taker ratio highest in 12 months
Bircoin buyer-seller taker ratio for a few hours today reached the highest value of the past 12 months, indicating that buyers have begun stepping up. Historically such moves preceded upward moves in price. This suggest that Bitcoin is poised for another leg up, likely into high $50k in the near term. Historically corrections after such legs up are also likely, so be prepared for volatility.  
View original →Bitcoin investor interest still comatose
GBTC Bitcoin accumulation has been on hold since February, prior to Bitcoin price topping off. Despite the recent rally to $49k, GBTC premiums are still negative (-14%), indicating little investor interest. For the price to make new ATHs, the biggest Bitcoin buyer should resume buying, and investor interest should be reflected in the positive premiums. Until that happens, Bitcoin is rallying on borrowed time.  
View original →12K BTC flows into Binance, triggering price drop hours later
12K BTC were deposited to Binance, likely causing immediate selling pressure hours later, and a price decline of ~5% at the time of writing. Netflows exceeding 10K BTC in a given hour are typically a strong indicator of short-term selling pressure and subsequent price decline.  
View original →BTC short squeeze to $40k+ likely
Leverage ratio (open interest divided by exchange reserves) reached levels last seen in the peak of March and April 2021. Funding is still slightly negative, indicating higher short interest than long. If BTC retains the lower range of 30K, shorts will begin to squeeze as BTC moves to the middle point of the range, likely accelerating in the coming days/weeks. At the same time, whales at Bitfinex are long-to-short at a ratio of 14x, while retail is still largely short.  
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