Called $BTC bullish on Feb 15, 2024: $BTC rose 38% in 4 weeks.
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Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked 46 directional calls by @onchain_edge on CryptoQuant since Jan 2022: tracked, not yet ranked (below the accuracy-scoring baseline) (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Called $BTC bullish on Feb 15, 2024: $BTC rose 38% in 4 weeks.
View call →CYCLE TOP ALERT: The 3% Supply Loss Signal
2021 Cycle Top Signature Current Supply in Loss: 5.48% Buffer to danger zone: 2.48% above the critical 3% threshold Risk trajectory: Lower numbers = higher risk Next few months critical At 5.48% Supply in Loss, we have runway but need to watch the decline toward 3%. History shows this metric provided perfect timing for the 2021 exit. The next few months are critical not for immediate panic, but for disciplined dca out strategy. Risk Level: Moderate (prepare, don't panic) Key Metric: Watch 5.48% → 3% decline Action Plan: Progressive exits as threshold approaches  
View original →The Great Bitcoin Drain
Exchange Reserve: 2.39M BTC (near historic lows of 2.5M threshold) Exchange Netflow: -7.85K BTC (negative = outflow from exchanges) Trend: Continuous supply drainage from exchanges We're witnessing a historic supply squeeze with exchange reserves at critically low levels. When combined with negative netflows, this creates a powder keg for explosive upward price movement. Probably what leads to the explosive top of this rally.  
View original →Smart Money Absorbing Retail Sell Pressure?
While $BTC grinds higher, exchange netflows remain negative — coins consistently leaving exchanges. Yet the Taker Buy/Sell Ratio is back under 1.0 — showing more aggressive sellers than buyers in recent days. 📊 This divergence is telling: Retail is de-risking. Whales are quietly accumulating. No panic spikes in inflows → no major distribution yet. If sell pressure keeps rising but price holds, expect a short squeeze setup. This is the kind of stealth accumulation that fueled past expansions. Onchain Edge Bias: Accumulation under pressure bullish continuation likely.  
View original →Bitcoin Critical Decision Zone: Bullish or Caution?
Right now, Bitcoin is in a critical decision zone. Looking at two key indicators—Taker Buy/Sell Ratio and MVRV Ratio—we can see mixed signals, but overall, the data leans more bullish than bearish. 🟢 Bullish Case (More Likely Based on Other Indicators) The MVRV Ratio (2.21) suggests Bitcoin is not overvalued yet. Historically, bull markets have peaked when MVRV is between 3.5 and 4.0, meaning there’s still room for growth. Puell Multiple and other on-chain indicators aren't showing overbought conditions, which means we’re not at a cycle top. If buyers step in, BTC could continue its uptrend toward six figures before a major correction happens. 🔴 Bearish Case (Risk Factors to Watch) The Taker Buy/Sell Ratio (0.96) shows that more traders are selling into market demand—a level similar to the March & November 2021 tops, which led to corrections. If BTC fails to break higher and the ratio stays below 0.98, it could signal a short-term top, leading to a pullback before the next leg up. Final Take: While some selling pressure is visible, macro indicators (MVRV, Puell) suggest the bull run isn’t over. If BTC can hold above $95K and buying activity picks up, we could see another rally toward new highs. However, if selling pressure increases and BTC struggles to break resistance, expect a healthy correction before another run-up.   
View original →Sell BTC when this happens
When the BTC supply loss % goes below 4% you should start dcaing aggressively out of BTC and wait for the next bear market lows. Current value is 8.14% Why? Below 4% means a lot of people are in a profit this is the peak bullrun phase. Trust me you don't want to be bagholding because you thought we will never see a bear market again. Be fearful when others are greedy.  
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