Called $BTC bullish on Oct 1, 2024: $BTC rose 68% in 4 months.
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Head of Research @CryptoQuant_com | Data-driven analysis of Bitcoin and digital assets.
accuracy score 70.1 on BTC over 166 BTC calls · 1,615 days of data · rank 5 of 141 BTC analysts (top 3.5% of the pool) · top 0.33% of an estimated 1,500 BTC analysts worldwide · v20r-multi-sparsepen-strong-ss12m-20261012, computed Nov 11, 2026 · Methodology →
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked 166 directional calls on BTC by @jjcmoreno on X since May 2022: ranked #5 of 141 analysts scored on BTC by accuracy — in the Top 1% of an estimated 1,500 BTC analysts worldwide (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Relative view by default: Julio Moreno’s calls are mostly nuanced, so each day is read against their usual tone.
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @jjcmoreno to submit corrections.
Called $BTC bullish on Oct 1, 2024: $BTC rose 68% in 4 months.
View call →Hover the chart to read the thesis of that period · click a day to pin it
Tough spot for Bitcoin right now. 1. Demand declining at a faster pace. 2. Stablecoin liquidity contracting. Price support remains $73K-$76K. https://t.co/AMjLDrTjH3
View original →Ethereum network. The attacker drained about $3.70B from Binance 14, Binance 7 and a Binance hot wallet into one receiver address, then split it. Tether and Circle moved fast. $2.20B of stablecoins ($1.38B USDT and $823M USDC) is frozen across three addresses, the red nodes. Before the freeze landed the hacker sold about $435M USDT for ETH through 0x Protocol, 1inch, LiFi and Uniswap, the four swap hubs in the middle of the chart. Nothing has touched a centralized exchange, bridge or mixer. Another $60M USDT is locked as Aave v3 collateral behind a 19.8K WETH loan. What the hacker still controls. 462.6K ETH (about $1.04B) in 11 addresses, three of which hold 85% of it, plus roughly $0.40B in other tokens (XAUT, WBETH, ENA, RLUSD, USD1 and a long tail) that are being sold into DEX pools one wallet at a time. On the Bitcoin network, all 18,270 BTC (about $1.42B) went from Binance cold wallet through one staging address into 19 fresh addresses, 17 of them hold exactly 1,000 BTC, and not one has moved since.
Binance Hack, where are the coins right now? Ethereum network. The attacker drained about $3.70B from Binance 14, Binance 7 and a Binance hot wallet into one receiver address, then split it. Tether and Circle moved fast. $2.20B of stablecoins ($1.38B USDT and $823M USDC) is frozen across three addresses, the red nodes. Before the freeze landed the hacker sold about $435M USDT for ETH through 0x Protocol, 1inch, LiFi and Uniswap, the four swap hubs in the middle of the chart. Nothing has touched a centralized exchange, bridge or mixer. Another $60M USDT is locked as Aave v3 collateral behind a 19.8K WETH loan. What the hacker still controls. 462.6K ETH (about $1.04B) in 11 addresses, three of which hold 85% of it, plus roughly $0.40B in other tokens (XAUT, WBETH, ENA, RLUSD, USD1 and a long tail) that are being sold into DEX pools one wallet at a time. On the Bitcoin network, all 18,270 BTC (about $1.42B) went from Binance cold wallet through one staging address into 19 fresh addresses, 17 of them hold exactly 1,000 BTC, and not one has moved since.
View original →Bitcoin touching the 365-day moving average (red line). This is supposed to be the first price support. https://t.co/E96m2i5OvK
View original →Binance Hack transaction patterns. Today's outflows do not resemble any Binance outflow of similar size in the previous three months (29 Jul to 28 Oct 2026). The chart compares the 29 Oct Binance outflows (orange) with every large Binance outflow of the previous three months (blue), one panel per chain. On Bitcoin, normal Binance withdrawals are batched: a median of 16 inputs and 11 outputs with mixed script types and change back to the exchange, so the blue dots sit in the upper middle of the plot. The 29 Oct transactions sit on a flat line at two outputs: 11 consolidations drained the cold wallet into one fresh address, then 17 peel steps cut it into round 1,000 BTC chunks sent to never-used addresses. On Ethereum, every baseline transfer above 10K ETH is a plain Binance-signed transfer to two repeat receivers on weekday mornings, the largest 80K. the 29 Oct bar is 167K ETH swept out of Binance 14 inside a single EIP-7702 batch call signed by an outside account, plus a 28K plain transfer to the same new address. On USDT, all 12 baseline outflows above 500M are exactly 500,000,000 USDT redemptions to the Tether treasury; the 29 Oct bar is 1,615M in one sweep to a brand-new address. None of the three 29 Oct moves share shape, signer, receiver or amount pattern with any Binance outflow since July.
View original →We have seen$4.69 billion in outflows in the last three hours, on assets that we track. Largest outflows: - USDT (ERC20), $1.7 billion or 4.8% of USDT reserves. - Bitcoin $1.46 billion or 2.7% of BTC reserves. - USDC $0.8 billion or 19.9% of USDC reserves. - ETH 0.5 billion or 6.9% of ETH reserves. USDT and USDC funds have reportedly been frozen by Tether and Circle. The exchange SAFU fund is about $1.2 billion, almost enought to cover BTC outflows for example.
Binance hack. We have seen$4.69 billion in outflows in the last three hours, on assets that we track. Largest outflows: - USDT (ERC20), $1.7 billion or 4.8% of USDT reserves. - Bitcoin $1.46 billion or 2.7% of BTC reserves. - USDC $0.8 billion or 19.9% of USDC reserves. - ETH 0.5 billion or 6.9% of ETH reserves. USDT and USDC funds have reportedly been frozen by Tether and Circle. The exchange SAFU fund is about $1.2 billion, almost enought to cover BTC outflows for example.
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