Called $CL bearish on May 21, 2026: $CL fell 29% over the next 6 weeks.
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Former HFM | Institutional-grade quant research for individual investors | Not Financial Advice | https://t.co/7AGyvCDsb5 | Email: research@alphatica.io
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked the directional calls on XAU by @alphaticaio on X since Jan 2026: not yet scored on XAU (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Other assets covered (36)
Absolute view by default: Alphatica states bull / bear plainly (96% of directional calls are outright).
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @alphaticaio to submit corrections.
Called $CL bearish on May 21, 2026: $CL fell 29% over the next 6 weeks.
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Democrats took the House and Senate. Starting in January: a Democratic Congress with a Republican president. The popular take is that gridlock is bullish gold. We tested it on monthly gold since 1971. Democratic Congress + Republican president, three times: 1. 1971–76: +228.7% 2. 1987–92: −16.1% 3. 2007–08: +38.5% Since 1981, gold has averaged +0.26% a month in this setup, vs +0.50% in all other months. Never statistically significant (p = 0.66). Congress isn't the variable to watch. The Fed is. Since 1981, gold by Fed regime: Hiking: −0.4% a year Holding: +5.5% Cutting: +7.1% It's not statistically significant (p = 0.16), but it held across every definition we tested. The Fed hiked in September for the first time this cycle. One more and gold enters its weakest regime since Volcker. Gold is −6.0% YTD going in. $GLD $SPY
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