Called $BTC bullish on Oct 27, 2023: $BTC rose 111% in 5 months.
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Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked 18 directional calls by @cryptohell on CryptoQuant since Mar 2023: tracked, not yet ranked (below the accuracy-scoring baseline) (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Called $BTC bullish on Oct 27, 2023: $BTC rose 111% in 5 months.
View call →Bitcoin Supercycle: Is the 4-Year Cycle Finally Broken?
Exchange reserves down 15% as ETFs pull 850K BTC off market. SOPR shows rational profit-taking—none of the euphoric dumping seen in past cycle tops. Supercycle thesis gaining steam as institutions...
View original →Tariffs Up 155%: Threat or Opportunity for Bitcoin?
The recent 155% tariff hike in U.S. imports could reshape global liquidity flows. Historically, protectionist measures like this tend to raise domestic inflation, strengthen the dollar temporarily, and pressure risk assets — including crypto. But on-chain data tells a different story. 📉 Exchange Netflow (BTC & ETH) has shown consistent outflows since mid-October, suggesting that investors are moving coins off exchanges. This typically reflects quiet accumulation by smart money, not panic selling. 💵 Meanwhile, Tether (USDT) Exchange Netflow (All Exchanges) recorded consistent inflows throughout October, with a few billion-dollar spikes in mid-month. This means buying liquidity remains healthy, even as risk sentiment weakened late in the month. ⚒️ Miner Position Index (MPI) remains low, showing that miner selling pressure is minimal. Historically, miners holding through uncertain macro conditions signal long-term confidence in Bitcoin’s value. 📊 In terms of valuation, MVRV Ratio is still below the euphoric zone, implying the market isn’t overheated yet, even with global risk sentiment turning cautious. Conclusion: While higher tariffs could tighten liquidity in the short term, on-chain data shows large holders are buying the dip, not exiting. As long as exchange selling pressure stays low and stablecoin inflows continue, Bitcoin may emerge as a hedge against U.S. fiscal and trade risks.     
View original →Bitcoin Market: Caution Amid Short-Term Volatility
Overall, the data suggests that despite short-term selling pressure, some fundamental factors still show relatively positive signs for the Bitcoin market. Selling pressure from miners and long-term holders is low, but sentiment from institutional investors and the US market is somewhat weak. Volatility may continue, with technical indicators suggesting that the market might be nearing a short-term peak, especially due to overbought signals from the Stochastic indicator. Investors should remain cautious, as profit-taking and selling pressure are evident from several sources. However, there is still potential for a longer-term bullish trend if selling pressure eases and market sentiment improves.  
View original →Bitcoin Bull-Bear Cycle: Key Insights for Investors
The bull-bear market cycle indicator from CryptoQuant illustrates the recurring cycles of Bitcoin over recent years, highlighting movements between overbought phases (Overheated Bull) and oversold phases (Extreme Bear). Each bull market phase is followed by a bear market, demonstrating how market volatility and sentiment heavily influence Bitcoin's price. As of 2024, Bitcoin is in a transitional phase, showing early signs of recovery from the bear market. However, there is no clear indication yet whether the market is ready to enter a strong bull phase again. This indicator is valuable for investors and traders, as it helps them determine when to enter or exit the market based on the current market cycle conditions.  
View original →Bitcoin Shows Volatility, Long-Term Holders Stay Bullish
As of September 16, 2024, Bitcoin is trading at $58,650.75, showing short-term volatility with a 2.56% 24-hour decline but a stronger 7.09% recovery over the past week. The market exhibits a mixed sentiment. On one hand, on-chain data like decreasing exchange reserves, low Binary CDD, and miner holding behavior signal a bullish stance for long-term holders. However, there are cautionary signals, such as a high exchange netflow and profit realization as shown by aSOPR, indicating that some traders are taking profits after recent gains. The sentiment is split: U.S. investors are buying at a premium, but institutional buying pressure is weak, as reflected in the low fund premium. Korean retail interest is high, possibly leading to localized speculative buying. Derivatives data show a dominant long sentiment, with rising open interest further validating a market belief in upward movement. However, overbought technical indicators like the Stochastic Oscillator warn of a potential short-term price correction. Overall, the market is in a state of cautious optimism with some risk of short-term pullbacks, while long-term holders remain confident.  
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