Called $BTC bearish on Oct 11, 2022: $BTC fell 15% over the next 6 weeks.
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accuracy score 56.3 on BTC over 55 BTC calls · 913 days of data · rank 91 of 141 BTC analysts (top 64.5% of the pool) · top 6.07% of an estimated 1,500 BTC analysts worldwide · v20r-multi-sparsepen-strong-ss12m-20261012, computed Nov 6, 2026 · Methodology →
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked 55 directional calls on BTC by @abramchart on CryptoQuant since Feb 2022: ranked #91 of 141 analysts scored on BTC by accuracy — in the Top 10% of an estimated 1,500 BTC analysts worldwide (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Relative view by default: abramchart’s calls are mostly nuanced, so each day is read against their usual tone.
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @abramchart to submit corrections.
Called $BTC bearish on Oct 11, 2022: $BTC fell 15% over the next 6 weeks.
View call →Hover the chart to read the thesis of that period · click a day to pin it
Whales Are Accumulating. But Is It Really Bullish?
Whales just moved 38,000 BTC into accumulation wallets—one of the largest inflows on record. But their average cost basis sits at $70K while BTC trades at $64K, signaling potential break-even exits...
View original →Bitcoin Market Structure Update
The market has just witnessed the largest drop in Open Interest of the current cycle, with total OI falling sharply from around $45B down to $28B within a few days. This move does not signal the start of a bear market; rather, it reflects a major leverage washout (Long Squeeze) that cleared out overly extended positions. Despite the volatility, Bitcoin remains above the ETF average cost basis at $79K, and there has been no meaningful selling from institutional funds. The key structural level to watch remains $74,000. A weekly close below it would be the first sign of broader macro weakness.  
View original →Negative BTC Basis Signals Caution
The Futures–Spot Basis is showing a clear shift into a bearish pressure phase: The Basis has flipped negative, meaning futures are now trading below the spot price. This indicates weak demand for leverage and rising caution among traders. A negative Basis usually appears when the market is de-risking or unwinding long positions. BTC is currently trading inside the Base Zone, an area that typically reflects selling pressure or position reduction. Both the 7D and 30D moving averages are sloping down, confirming a short-term bearish futures sentiment. Summary : The market is no longer showing a futures premium instead, traders are pricing risk lower. A return above 0% - 0.5% Basis would be the first sign of recovering confidence.  
View original →Bitcoin : Whales accumulating again
Over 26,500 BTC just flowed into whale accumulation wallets a major inflow, though not the largest this year (the February spike was bigger). This kind of movement typically signals institutional or whale accumulation, as coins are transferred from exchanges to custody wallets a classic sign of long-term positioning rather than short-term trading. Historically, similar surges often appear near market correction zones, hinting that smart money is quietly buying the dip. While the short-term price may still fluctuate, the on-chain data shows confidence returning among large holders the whales are loading up again.  
View original →Is BTC ’s Bull Run Coming to an End?
Long-Term Holders (LTH) remain in solid profit territory (NUPL above 0.5), showing strong conviction and willingness to hold. Short-Term Holders (STH) are fluctuating near lower profit levels, indicating partial selling or short-term pressure during price rallies. Bitcoin price is trading close to the $104K zone, supported mainly by LTH confidence, reflecting strong long-term holding behavior. The overall trend remains bullish, driven by long-term holder conviction, while short-term holders may cause temporary corrective pressure.  
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