Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked 16 directional calls by @tanasta2 on CryptoQuant since Aug 2021: tracked, not yet ranked (below the accuracy-scoring baseline) (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Strong buying from US investors amid regional bank crashes
The Coinbase premium index reached an ATH of 1 shortly after the US regional banks fails which indicates strong buying pressure from US investors. Some people are moving their money to crypto and it is also reflected in the price action as Bitcoin rallied from 20k to slightly over 25k, and it seems to be holding strong at 24-25k looking to actually break the 25k level soon.   
View original →This has never happened in the Bitcoin history before
We can see that the ma50 had never crossed the ma200 (on the weekly) until recently. In the 2014-2016 bear market, they only had gotten very close but there was no death cross. Also, never in BTC history the bear market low had touched the previous bull market top until recently we actually went below 19k (the previous bull market top). Would history not repeat itself at this time? Would the fate of Bitcoin be different now? Let me know what do you think   
View original →Leverage are being flushed out of the market as it should
Since Nov 2021 up to Oct 2022 (almost a year), we are seeing quite weird thing happening in the market in which bitcoin took unexpected downturns, but the estimated leverage ratio kept getting higher and higher. The market finally realized that these highly leveraged positions are sustainable. I still expect this leverage ratio to further go down, as many would lose hope in the market, as the market is consolidating for a move higher.  
View original →The bottom was in although a bull run might not start soon
If we look at the MVRV during the past two cycles, every time it went above 1 after a market crash it never went back down below 1. So far BTC has rallied around 35% from the bottom. Still a fantastic price to buy for the long-term if you haven't bought any (I have at 18-22k). The next resistance is at 27k and 30k. Expect a slow rally or sideways movement around 27-30k or 22-27k. Unless the Nasdaq and S&P 500 went lower than the previous bottom, bitcoin will not go lower than 17-18k.   
View original →UTXO has not reached early 2019 and 2020 peak covid crash level of capitulation yet
UTXO in loss is only at 27%. In the previous period of capitulation in late 2018 to early 2019 & in the peak covid crash (March 2020), the value was at 54% and 61% percent respectively. However, NUPL and MVRV indicate that now it is one of the best buying opportunities historically. Based on the historical data, you're very likely to do amazing with your investment, if you start to accumulate Bitcoin in this price range. Of course, past performance does not guarantee future results.    
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