Called $BTC bullish on Dec 13, 2022: $BTC rose 71% in 7 months.
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Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked 40 directional calls by @divxman on CryptoQuant since Jun 2021: tracked, not yet ranked (below the accuracy-scoring baseline) (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Called $BTC bullish on Dec 13, 2022: $BTC rose 71% in 7 months.
View call →Why did Bitcoin jump 📈 🆙 today?
Bitcoin made it's most bullish move in a month! Why? Throughout this ENTIRE bear market, Hash rate (ie. network investement) has been on the rise. Even with miners capitulating to cover costs. FTX led to a massive rise in self custody. More BTC is moving OFF exchanges than we've ever seen, exasperating the supply shock. Demand = JUMP 📈 🆙 US inflation falls to 7.1%. This triggered the move and shows how correlated BTC is to the FEDs manipulation. 7.1% inflation is TERRIBLE, the fact that people think it's good is somewhat hilarious. 😅 With core CPI rising only 0.2% in Nov., and overall CPI lower the assumption is inflation has peaked and we're going into a deflationary cycle. Very bullish, and precisely why asset prices are all up. Now, the daily. Short term support at 16-17.2K, and resistance at 19-19.6K. Larger resistance = 200 EMA at 22.3K. Hard to imagine anything worse than FTX happening at this point. For me, the strategy remains the same. DCA and accumulation continues.     
View original →The Bullish Case for Bitcoin
Since the madness began 2 days ago. 88150 Bitcoin has been taken off exchanges. No matter what happens it seems BTC is getting more scarce. This is the backbone of crypto after all. The last time reserves were this low was in March 2018, also during a bear market. However at the time, reserves on exchanges were RISING. Today, in a far more brutal global bear market. BTC Price is 70% higher, and reserves are falling. Eventually the FED will loosen policy or risk collapsing their own markets. The printers will turn back on. The next halving will come. BTC demand will skyrocket. The writing is on the wall for 100K.. 200K.. and beyond. The lesson from FTX, Celsius, Voyager, and Terra? Everything must be backed by Bitcoin and other audited liquid assets. No bailouts here. “The Times 03/Jan/2009 Chancellor on brink of second bailout for banks.” - BTC Genesis Block   
View original →Is Bitcoin about to have a major breakout?
There are two things happening at the same time that indicate to me a major BTC breakout is imminent. #1 - Bitcoin price action has been in a bear market in all of 2022 and consolidating since early May. Over the last 24 hours we've seemingly flipped the top of this trend into support at the critical apex. We've also seen support form at the 45 level of the RSI along with the RSI and it's MA converging. This adds credence to the fact that the price is becoming constricted enough for even small amounts of demand to cause a rapid price appreciation. TA tells us a bounce here is very likely. #2 - At the same time we are seeing BTC exchange reserves hit new 4 year lows. This tells us that market sentiment has not changed. Nobody is rushing to sell their Bitcoin, in fact as prices stay low more Bitcoin is being purchased and removed from exchanges. This means the supply shock is increasing rapidly. Take this with a grain of salt is Bitcoin has been incredibly unpredictable lately.   
View original →Bitcoin at a Critical Decision Point! Volatility may be coming.. very soon!
Right now Bitcoin is creating a pattern indicating volatility is around the corner. We see a continuation pattern on the 4hr chart that's reaching it's apex! This decision point will determine whether we see a continuation of the micro (2 week) trend to the upside, or the macro (6 month) trend to the downside. The upside target is 34K if we see a breakout from this pattern, while the downside target is 25.5K. Like I said, pretty important! Note that the price could set a higher high or lower low then go right back into a continuation pattern - essentially extending the triangle. For now, that is the best case scenario to continue accumulation and avoid further downside. It's also the most likely scenario in my eyes. Personally I'm still accumulating like a monster at these prices and have orders all the way down to 22K just in case we see a large liquidity sell off triggering immense long liquidations and a wick to the downside. Let me know how you think this will play out!  
View original →Bitcoin continues to fly off exchanges
As we are all aware since November 2021, Bitcoin has been in what many consider a bear cycle within the larger bull cycle. The key about this consolidation that makes it differ from prior 'bear markets' is quite simple. Previously during bear markets we saw exchanges get flooded with Bitcoin. This time however.. things are very different. Exhibit A - In the first screenshot you can see that this week alone we have seen 12,000 BTC ($468 Million at $39,000 per/btc) exit exchanges. Exhibit B - In the second screenshot we have zoomed out and are looking from the Nov 2021 price top until today and we see that roughly 210,000 BTC have exited exchanges for a staggering value of $8.19 Billion (once again at $39,000 per/btc) The correlation here is simple. Accumulation is ongoing and is heavy. Supply is diminishing. This is the opposite of what we've seen in actual bear markets. In my eyes, it's a signal that says when demand rises the price can only go up.   
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