Called $BTC bearish on May 14, 2026: $BTC fell 26% over the next 7 weeks.
View call →accuracy score 44.8 on BTC over 118 BTC calls · 348 days of data · rank 136 of 141 BTC analysts (top 96.5% of the pool) · top 9.07% of an estimated 1,500 BTC analysts worldwide · v20r-multi-sparsepen-strong-ss12m-20261012, computed Nov 11, 2026 · Methodology →
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked 118 directional calls on BTC by @GugaOnChain on CryptoQuant since Nov 2025: ranked #136 of 141 analysts scored on BTC by accuracy — in the Top 10% of an estimated 1,500 BTC analysts worldwide (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Other assets covered (1)
Relative view by default: GugaOnChain’s calls are mostly nuanced, so each day is read against their usual tone.
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @GugaOnChain to submit corrections.
Hover the chart to read the thesis of that period · click a day to pin it
Delayed Hack Effect: Capitulation Hits Bitcoin with $1.1 Billion in Realized Losses in the Last 24 Hours
Bitcoin bleeds $1.1B in realized losses in 24 hours after the $6.3B Binance hack. BTC sinks to $77,553. Top buyers capitulate near $75,913 STH support.
View original →Price Action Points to a Drop, But On-Chain Indicators Maintain Bitcoin's Target at $89,600
In classic Technical Analysis, BTC has been moving sideways for 9 days on the daily timeframe, while the weekly alerts danger: Tweezer Top, Hanging Man, and a sharp drop in volume...
View original →The Great Bitcoin 'Reset': Why Smart Money Ignores the Fear of $82,000
BTC sits at $82,442, 34% off its $124,709 ATH. On-chain bands flag $87,171 as the key breakout line. Clear it and the $122,596 distribution target comes into play.
View original →Bitcoin stuck in a liquidity drought: $14 billion profit wall could trigger correction
$14B in unrealized whale profit sits 2x above the danger line. BTC volume dries up near $83K as $86K caps rallies. Leveraged retail risks a flush to $80.6K.
View original →No toxic leverage: Bitcoin's organic rally to $78,000 signals clear ground for Long operations
Bitcoin breaks $78K on pure spot buying—zero toxic leverage detected. Institutions withdrew 4,047 BTC to cold wallets while ELR sits flat at 0.543. Organic rally with no overleveraged positions...
View original →