Called $COPPER bullish on Apr 18, 2025: $COPPER rose 20% in 3 months.
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Commodities | Stocks | FX | Macro Value + Momentum. Finding asymmetric setups at cycle lows. My investment letter ↓ Not advice.
accuracy score 49.3 on COPPER over 182 COPPER calls · 582 days of data · rank 11 of 12 COPPER analysts (top 91.7%) · v20r-multi-sparsepen-strong-ss12m-20261012, computed Nov 11, 2026 · Methodology →
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked 182 directional calls on COPPER by @ValueSeeker_ on X since Mar 2025: ranked #11 of 12 analysts scored on COPPER by accuracy (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Other assets covered (12)
Relative view by default: Value Seeker leans one way on 98% of days, so a softer or opposite tone stands out against their usual stance.
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @ValueSeeker_ to submit corrections.
Called $COPPER bullish on Apr 18, 2025: $COPPER rose 20% in 3 months.
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COPPER - RE-TEST COMING? Copper’s momentum seems to lack strength, what could trigger a slight correction bringing it back to its former resistance recently broken. Such price movement is common, and even healthy, indicating the absence of hype (i.e. irrational exuberance) for this long-term investment case. This is exactly in those moments that rebalancing adds value. $COPX $CPER
View original →COPPER - ONGOING RE-TEST Copper is currently re-testing the 20-year-old resistance it has recently broken. Such re-tests, when successful, usually offer very attractive risk-rewards. To keep an eye on. $CPER $COPX
View original →ALUMINUM PRODUCERS VS COPPER MINERS Alco Corp $AA (taken here as a proxy for aluminum producers), seems to have bottomed relative to copper miners, as the Alcoa-to-COPX ratio shows. Indeed, the ratio has historically bottomed 1.25σ below its long-term trend, where the risk-reward of aluminum producers is the most attractive of the two. Indeed, while a return to its long-term trend would imply a 95% outperformance for aluminum producers, reaching 2 standard deviations on the upside would imply a 265% outperformance. $COPX
View original →OIL PRODUCERS VS COPPER MINERS The XLE-to-COPX ratio, which displays no long-term up or down trend (i.e. a good candidate for a mean reversion trade) remains in the lower end of its long-term cycle. At this stage, while a return to its recent top would imply a 61% outperformance for XLE relative to COPX, reaching its ATH would generate a 250% excess return. On the momentum's side, one could also notice that the ratio has recently been oversold (typical of a bottom) while its monthly MACD is now positive. Here is another reason why I am overweight energy relative to metals currently. $XLE $COPX $COPJ
View original →COPPER-TO-GOLD RATIO: +50% SINCE THEN 7 months after the note below, the copper has outperformed gold by 50%. Having said that, investors could wonder if copper remains more attractive than the yellow metal. With a ratio still trading well below its long-term trend (-0.8σ), copper seems to remain the most attractive of the two. I have described in the Substack note below the expected payoffs in case of return to key statistical levels.
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