accuracy score 49.7 on BTC over 18 BTC calls · 395 days of data · rank 123 of 141 BTC analysts (top 87.2% of the pool) · top 8.20% of an estimated 1,500 BTC analysts worldwide · v20r-multi-sparsepen-strong-ss12m-20261012, computed Nov 6, 2026 · Methodology →
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked 18 directional calls on BTC by @tugbachain on CryptoQuant since Dec 2023: ranked #123 of 141 analysts scored on BTC by accuracy — in the Top 10% of an estimated 1,500 BTC analysts worldwide (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Most Bitcoin Holders Are Underwater, Is Capitulation Coming?
Nearly every Bitcoin cohort from the past 18 months is underwater. $73K marks the line between compression and capitulation. Reclaiming $79K flips the script bullish.
View original →NUPL in the Hope Zone, STH-SOPR Recovering From Capitulation: Is This the Floor?
NUPL hits Hope zone at 0.28 for first time this cycle, down 40% from $109K peak. STH-SOPR recovering from 0.92 capitulation level back toward breakeven. Classic accumulation setup forming—but true...
View original →Three Signals, One Picture: Bitcoin's Supply Side Has Gone Quiet — Demand Still Hasn't Responded
Miner outflows crashed 76% from 28K to 6.8K BTC—sellers have gone silent. MVRV at 1.3 signals zero speculative premium, market trading at cost basis. ETF flows and nation-state adoption may have...
View original →Short-Term Holders Under Pressure: Reset Phase or the Start of a Deeper Breakdown?
Short-term Bitcoin holders now underwater as price drops below their cost basis. Relief rallies getting capped at break-even levels where panic sellers cluster. Long-term holder support intact—this...
View original →NVT Golden Cross Enters the “Cold Zone”: Is Bitcoin Near a Local Bottom — or Just the First Leg Lower?
NVT Golden Cross hits -1.9, deep in the 'cold zone' below -1.6 threshold. Bitcoin price is suppressed vs on-chain activity—local bottom zone forming. But historical crashes reached -3 before...
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