Called $COPPER bullish on Apr 18, 2025: $COPPER rose 20% in 3 months.
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Commodities | Stocks | FX | Macro Value + Momentum. Finding asymmetric setups at cycle lows. My investment letter ↓ Not advice.
accuracy score 49.3 on COPPER over 182 COPPER calls · 582 days of data · rank 11 of 12 COPPER analysts (top 91.7%) · v20r-multi-sparsepen-strong-ss12m-20261012, computed Nov 11, 2026 · Methodology →
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked 182 directional calls on COPPER by @ValueSeeker_ on X since Mar 2025: ranked #11 of 12 analysts scored on COPPER by accuracy (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Other assets covered (12)
Relative view by default: Value Seeker leans one way on 98% of days, so a softer or opposite tone stands out against their usual stance.
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @ValueSeeker_ to submit corrections.
Called $COPPER bullish on Apr 18, 2025: $COPPER rose 20% in 3 months.
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COPPER - SHORT-TERM WEAKNESS, LONG_TERM POTENTIAL Copper has been loosing momentum for the past weeks after a 58% appreciation since 2025. While this short-term weakness could bring it slightly lower over the coming weeks, one should not forget that, once adjusted for money supply, copper still trades on its 25th percentile. In other words, copper has been more expensive 75% of the time, what lets me think that the commodity remains cheap, especially given its demand projections for the coming decades. The way I play it? I rotate between commodities (and commodity producers) to overweigh the cheapest ones, taking some profits on recent winners (whose short-term risk-reward has become less attractive), which I reinvest in recent laggards. I explained this rational in the note below. $COPX $CPER
View original →COPPER - RE-TEST COMING? Copper’s momentum seems to lack strength, what could trigger a slight correction bringing it back to its former resistance recently broken. Such price movement is common, and even healthy, indicating the absence of hype (i.e. irrational exuberance) for this long-term investment case. This is exactly in those moments that rebalancing adds value. $COPX $CPER
View original →COPPER - ONGOING RE-TEST Copper is currently re-testing the 20-year-old resistance it has recently broken. Such re-tests, when successful, usually offer very attractive risk-rewards. To keep an eye on. $CPER $COPX
View original →ALUMINUM PRODUCERS VS COPPER MINERS Alco Corp $AA (taken here as a proxy for aluminum producers), seems to have bottomed relative to copper miners, as the Alcoa-to-COPX ratio shows. Indeed, the ratio has historically bottomed 1.25σ below its long-term trend, where the risk-reward of aluminum producers is the most attractive of the two. Indeed, while a return to its long-term trend would imply a 95% outperformance for aluminum producers, reaching 2 standard deviations on the upside would imply a 265% outperformance. $COPX
View original →OIL PRODUCERS VS COPPER MINERS The XLE-to-COPX ratio, which displays no long-term up or down trend (i.e. a good candidate for a mean reversion trade) remains in the lower end of its long-term cycle. At this stage, while a return to its recent top would imply a 61% outperformance for XLE relative to COPX, reaching its ATH would generate a 250% excess return. On the momentum's side, one could also notice that the ratio has recently been oversold (typical of a bottom) while its monthly MACD is now positive. Here is another reason why I am overweight energy relative to metals currently. $XLE $COPX $COPJ
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