Dir. of Global Macro @Fidelity. Student of history, chart maker, cyclist, cook. Helping investors break thru the clutter. Views are mine. https://t.co/9Pn7wGwMzp
accuracy score 65.2 on BTC over 180 BTC calls · 1,573 days of data · rank 33 of 141 BTC analysts (top 23.4% of the pool) · top 2.20% of an estimated 1,500 BTC analysts worldwide · v20r-multi-sparsepen-strong-ss12m-20261012, computed Nov 11, 2026 · Methodology →
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked 180 directional calls on BTC by @TimmerFidelity on X since Jan 2021: ranked #33 of 141 analysts scored on BTC by accuracy — in the Top 5% of an estimated 1,500 BTC analysts worldwide (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Other assets covered (11)
Relative view by default: Jurrien Timmer’s calls are mostly nuanced, so each day is read against their usual tone.
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @TimmerFidelity to submit corrections.
Hover the chart to read the thesis of that period · click a day to pin it
When markets fall hard and fast enough, correlations often converge, and we can see below that this happened last week as well. Earlier last week the ex-AI basket was only 10% correlated to the S&P 500 index, but by the end of the week it was 40%. The same applies to the S&P 500 equal-weighted index (SPW) and even REITs and Bitcoin.
View original →I still prefer Bitcoin over gold for the time being, and its relative price is holding up even as both assets have sold off. https://t.co/1JKztVyqjd
View original →As for gold and Bitcoin, unfortunately they have gotten more correlated to equities lately and have joined the risk-off party in recent weeks. Both assets are 60-70% correlated to the SPX right now. https://t.co/uSILeHP2ww
View original →No matter how farfetched the idea might be of the Treasury Department repricing its gold to create cashflows out of thin air, even a remote possibility that desperate governments will do desperate things is a reminder to always have real assets in the portfolio. On that note, I continue to be impressed by Bitcoin’s resilience. I think it will be eating gold’s lunch for a while, although I remain bullish on both.
View original →And Bitcoin? A new 4-year cycle bull market could be underway, based on its power law patterns. There doesn’t seem to be a narrative, but then again, bull markets rarely start with one. https://t.co/trJJ2giWdh
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