Non-Consensus Investing. Founder of @lumidawealth. ex-Wall St. Markets and philosophy. NYC & Exeter alum. Dad of 3. Disproving the EMH one day at a time.
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked the directional calls on TSM by @ramahluwalia on X since Mar 2026: not yet scored on TSM (as of Nov 11, 2026).
1 TSM call on record, a thin history.
Relative view by default: fewer than 30 TSM calls or days on record.
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @ramahluwalia to submit corrections.
Hover the chart to read the thesis of that period · click a day to pin it
Microsoft earnings: strong. AI is a rising tide not a share shift game. Hypothesis: This is 1995, not 1997. Adoption is still low. $MSFT $NVDA $TSM $MU $SKHY https://t.co/r0NKE7MiSW
View original →WHAT IS THE MOAT? This is the existential question VCs and Leaders are asking. Technical velocity doesn't matter. So, what does? (1) Regulation is a moat. This is a big one. Banks and insurance companies are not going to go away. The balance sheet nature of these business models will not change. Licensed physicians aren't going away either. So, if you're running an agentic business model in this category against slow incumbents with large TAMs, you can win by taking share from the dinosaur. That's my thesis with @LumidaWealth. This is why @PalmerLuckey is focused on regulated categories like Defense Tech and Banking Tech. (2) GTM Velocity beats Technical velocity How fast can you spin up and test? Now, this is a "skill" not a moat. But if you run fast enough it looks like a moat. Excellence deters new entry. Higgsfield has 150 content creators. That's *why* they are growing revenue. It's not the product. So, GTM velocity looks like a moat. (3) Intellectual Property is a moat. Influencers are a moat. Any kind of IP is a moat (Air Jordans, Disney characters, Seinfeld re-runs, pharmaecuticals, etc.) (4) Founder Agency Leadership is a moat. This is an uncomfortable truth. 'How is that scaleable or resilient?' @elonmusk is his own moat. Elon can marshall capital and talent density on demand. That's a competitive advantage that allows him to enter markets with only 1 or 2 competitors (TSMC, Iridium, etc.). That's equivalent to a moat. Zuck (@finkd) is his own moat. He made the non-consensus call to hire @alexandr_wang. No way Alexandr would have survived a traditional 'check the box' HR process. Steve Jobs was his own moat. His vision and product instincts are unmatched. He can make hard choices and simplify. Zuck has exceptional talent acquisition instincts. *AI highly levers Founder Agency.* AI turns Founders into 3x levered beta products. So, the bets VCs make on Founder talent and leadership matter much more in the age of AI. (5) Brands are a moat. Brands are a type of IP. So, brands are a moat. Some VCs will say 'show me your process and I will create your brand'. Nope. Wendy's, McDonalds, and Burger King have all entered Chic Fil A's market with nearly identical chicken sandwhich products. Chic Fil A still dominates. (6) Community is a moat. Sports teams are moat. Political parties are moat. So are alumni organizations. If you can build and compound a community you have a moat. (7) Customer intimacy is a moat. The startup that understands its customer / ICP better than the other is a moat. The mission is to create habit loops with your customer. That means meeting the customer where they are, in their channel of choice, and on their terms. Even if it means engaging with them with a digital avatar in their pajamas at 2am. If you're a founder, you should be obsessed with all of these moats.
View original →
