I help investors in their quest to beat Wall Street at its own game by sharing what I've learned 45+ years in global markets. Private investor/mkt strategist
4 AAPL calls on record — a thin history.
Relative view by default — fewer than 30 AAPL calls or days on record.
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @fitz_keith to submit corrections.
Hover the chart to read the thesis of that period · click a day to pin it
$AAPL is losing the AI race. 😰 Try playing chess while everyone else is playing checkers. 🤷♂️ 2.5 billion active devices worldwide. Quietly training their own China LLM with Alibaba. First foreign model cleared by Beijing. The rest of the industry is racing for flashy demos, and Apple is securing the board in the hardest market on earth. https://t.co/Qjjr6w6e23
View original →Big week on deck... here's what I'm thinking! Roughly a third of the S&P 500 report this week. Four of the Mag 7 – $MSFT, $META, $AAPL, $AMZN – all in one 48-hour period. The game is afoot so expect higher volatility and be ready. In fact, I expect the go-fast traders to execute not one but potentially several “rug pulls” to scare the weak hands out. Think like a shark, not a minnow. There are a number of great, high probability strategies that could work nicely. Just a few that come to mind… LowBall Orders, Selling Cash Secured Puts, the FreeTrade, Selling Covered Calls, Rebalancing Risk. The best names have the highest liquidity and – I submit – are where you want to be hunting. Dodgy stocks are, well, dodgy for a reason. 💯
View original →Let me get this straight. The Magnificent 7 — $MSFT, $NVDA, $GOOG, $AAPL , $META, $TSLA and $AMZN — have shed roughly $2.3 trillion in value this month because investors are suddenly nervous about AI spending. Yet, they continue to invest in the chip companies from which the Mag7 can’t buy enough schtuff???!!! 🤦 The irony is killing me. The Mag7 are going to collectively spend north of $725 - $750 billion with a “B” on chips, data centers, networking and so on with chips being the biggest line item across all CAPEX categories. Imagine what happens when those chips are put to use and the revenue that’ll generate. For example… If a hyperscaler spends $150B a year and even 20% of that hardware gets monetized at a conservative 3-5X lifetime revenues via cloud rental and AI service fees, that means we’re talking $90-150B in eventual revenue from a single year’s spend not counting the initial revenue that it books on the sale. We’ve seen this before. Five times, in fact.
View original →In today's Five with Fitz: 1. The best, most obvious trade of the year? 2. Wall Street Has a Gambling Problem and Polymarket Just Proved It 3. This is just asking for trouble, imho 4. Apple price hike fears are misguided $AAPL 5. Bigger than a single heatwave $CARR $TT Actionable, free, daily 👇 https://t.co/TnjuyiqUUC
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