NVDANVIDIABullishNVIDIA

2d ago on

I want some peace and quiet, but Huang $NVDA had other ideas and published a heartfelt letter. Now the market is bracing for "Black Monday." But I wouldn’t get ahead of myself. Undoubtedly, the NVDA CEO’s admission and the Board of Directors’ launch of an investigation amid allegations of ties to Chinese intelligence are triggering extreme "Key Man Risk." Wall Street is indifferent to morality but ruthless when it comes to national security threats. I see three key factors influencing the stock and assess the likelihood of each: - Regulatory blow: the risk of a review of clearances for U.S. government contracts and defense AI projects, as well as a rigorous audit by intelligence agencies (though, as long as Trump is in power, this doesn’t sound very likely). - Valuation compression: The threat of the chief visionary’s removal will force institutional funds with strict compliance requirements to liquidate positions (this is more likely, but the impact will most likely be short-term). - Fundamental buffer: The technological monopoly and multibillion-dollar CapEx of hyperscalers are already locked in—the operating business is protected by a robust backlog (and this is the most likely silver lining that will protect NVDA’s market capitalization). My conclusion: In the short term, the stock is likely to see a contraction in its multiples due to uncertainty surrounding the investigation in the coming months. However, the architecture of the AI market is already stronger than any single individual—fundamental demand will not suffer, turning an emotional sell-off into a rare market inefficiency.

NeutralNVDANVIDIANVIDIACRDOCredo Technology Group HoldingCredo Technology Group HoldingIRENIREN LIMITEDIREN LIMITEDMUMicron TechnologyMicron TechnologyNBISNebius Group N.V.Nebius Group N.V.RKLBRocket LabRocket LabSNDKSandisk CorporationSandisk Corporation

6d ago on

Damn it. Turns out the Democrats learned at least one thing from Trump: how to nuke the market right when everyone is waiting for fireworks. $IREN -20% | $NBIS -18% | $SNDK -21% | $CRDO -17% | $MU -16% | $RKLB -15% | $NVDA -10% Appreciate it, guys. Just bring back communism and outlaw AI already, so we can finally go back to the "good old days."

NeutralNVDANVIDIANVIDIACRDOCredo Technology Group HoldingCredo Technology Group HoldingIRENIREN LIMITEDIREN LIMITEDMUMicron TechnologyMicron TechnologyNBISNebius Group N.V.Nebius Group N.V.RKLBRocket LabRocket LabSNDKSandisk CorporationSandisk Corporation

6d ago on

Damn it. But the Democrats have learned something from Trump. That is, how to crash the markets just when everyone is expecting a celebratory fireworks display. Thanks a lot—all that’s left is to bring back communism and ban AI. Then we’ll all live like in the good old days. $IREN -20% $NBIS -18% $SNDK -21% $CRDO -17% $MU -16% $RKLB -15% $NVDA -10%

NeutralNVDANVIDIANVIDIAAVGOBroadcomBroadcomLITELumentum Holdings Inc.Lumentum Holdings Inc.MRVLMarvellMarvell

1w ago on

$SIVE is getting a hidden catalyst for its fundamental valuation from the potential acquisition of $LITE by $MRVL. While the market is focused on the mega-deal itself, it’s missing the main point: the closure of the independent market for laser sources for AI clusters. LITE controls a critical share of the scarce InP lasers, whose production capacity has already been sold out through 2029. Their vertical integration into Marvell will create a severe conflict of interest for $AVGO, $NVDA, and CPO developers. Purchasing basic optics from a direct competitor in custom ASICs and DSPs is a strategic dead end. In my view, this will force chipmakers to urgently shift contracts to independent players with their own InP fabs, making SIVE one of the beneficiaries of the shift in demand within the CW laser segment. In AI supply chains, the premium always goes to the last available "bottleneck." LITE’s loss of neutral status transforms Sivers from a niche vendor into a rare strategic asset and an obvious target for M&A.