Called $ETH bearish on Apr 23, 2023: $ETH fell 16% over the next 6 months.
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Always trader, often shitposter, sometimes educator. @breakoutprop
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked the directional calls on XRP by @CryptoCred on X since Apr 2021: not yet scored on XRP (as of Nov 11, 2026).
No XRP calls in our data yet.
Relative view by default: fewer than 30 XRP calls or days on record.
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @CryptoCred to submit corrections.
Called $ETH bearish on Apr 23, 2023: $ETH fell 16% over the next 6 months.
View call →Hover the chart to read the thesis of that period · click a day to pin it
Another great day to be a digital asset speculator gm https://t.co/shCac6D2ag
View original →This was one of the highest volatility days in recent crypto history. Was I long the BTC breakout? No. Did I catch the HYPE news? No. But do I have a tactical pool of capital that’s ready to deploy with a clear plan if a new trend forms? Also no.
View original →Real talk If you’re on the wrong side during a big move like this, most of your immediate impulses are gonna suck Greatest hits: 1. Revenge short - Can’t believe I missed this piece of shit scam pumping; it’s up so much it HAS to come down 2. Oversized buy - I will use leverage as a time travel machine to make up for being late 3. TA cope - It has to retest the exact level it broke out from immediately because I watched two whole Babypips videos on 1.5x speed 4. All-or-nothing - My only options are 0%. exposure or 100%, nothing in between exists 5. Deer in headlights - oh geez I guess I should wait for a pullback but no what if the consolidation is the pullback hmm maybe I’ll wait for a range to form but what if that range breaks down do I buy the retest of the breakout or the range reclaim oh man fuck shit what’s Ansem saying 6. Overtrader - I will cement my bloodline on the 5 minute chart; if this next candle is the wrong colour I will either be rich or poor Just chill out, delete your levels, pretend you haven’t looked at the chart in weeks - fresh eyes Then it’s the usual list of simple questions: 1. What signals are firing / what do I think is gonna happen 2. What kind of bet am I making (mean reversion/volatility expansion/new trend/momentum/Blackrock scam etc.) and on what time horizon 3. Where am I wrong 4. Does my position size match the current volatility and align with the shape of my trade idea i.e. points 1-3 FWIW I’m washed but gonna try to jam some spot sub 70k. If it gets accepted below 66-67k (retraces the breakout) then I’ll lose money “Wow it’s up so much what you buy the top?” Then I’ll lose money and look silly on social media. That’s the cost of doing business (at least the first one). Just start LARPing like everyone else and instead of saying “I bought the top” say “I aggressively rebalanced when an ensemble of carefully weighed momentum factor signals fired contemporaneously.”
View original →This is a huge inflection point for BTC after one of the largest short liquidation events in recent history I've spent the last 4 hours studying ETF flows, Microstrategy credit facilities, cross-exchange liquidity and funding rates, as well as prime OTC desk inventory They all point to the same inevitable conclusion: If it keeps going up, then the market is bullish If it stops going up and goes down, then the market is bearish
View original →Been trading crypto for 9ish years. Recorded an episode with @DonAlt covering our biggest flaws, cycle fumbles, lessons, and what we'd tell ourselves about trading if time travel were real. 2:03 the BitMEX era, where we learned everything wrong 23:06 buying the bottom comes with a cost 35:00 volatility-based position sizing 40:28 after 9 years only a handful of trades ever mattered 45:04 DonAlt closes every winner too early 52:55 the thing that makes you money is the thing that loses it 1:04:28 anyone selling "the way" is a grifter Thanks @krakenpro for facilitating this therapy session
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