Called $BTC bearish on May 24, 2026: $BTC fell 22% over the next 5 weeks.
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accuracy score 48.5 on BTC over 238 BTC calls · 435 days of data · rank 127 of 141 BTC analysts (top 90.1% of the pool) · top 8.47% of an estimated 1,500 BTC analysts worldwide · v20r-multi-sparsepen-strong-ss12m-20261012, computed Nov 6, 2026 · Methodology →
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked 238 directional calls on BTC by @xwinfinance on CryptoQuant since Sep 2024: ranked #127 of 141 analysts scored on BTC by accuracy — in the Top 10% of an estimated 1,500 BTC analysts worldwide (as of Nov 11, 2026).
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Relative view by default: Fumihiro Arasawa’s calls are mostly nuanced, so each day is read against their usual tone.
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @xwin to submit corrections.
Called $BTC bearish on May 24, 2026: $BTC fell 22% over the next 5 weeks.
View call →Hover the chart to read the thesis of that period · click a day to pin it
Bitcoin’s Crucial Week: U.S. Data, the Fed and October Rates
Fed sits at 3.75–4.00% after a unanimous September hike. JOLTS, PCE, ISM and payrolls land this week. Hot prints lift yields and the dollar, squeezing BTC.
View original →Binance Stablecoin Reserves Recover: Is Bitcoin’s Buying Power Returning?
Binance stablecoin reserves jump $1.8B to $43.8B off August lows. That's still well short of the $49B peak. Dry powder builds, but spot buying isn't confirmed.
View original →Has Bitcoin Entered a New Bull Market? CryptoQuant Report Shows Strong On-Chain Signals, but Risks Are Rising
Bitcoin clears $86K as Bull Score hits 80—first bullish reading since mid-August. Market absorbed 539K BTC dump between $77K-$80K, now eyeing $88K-$91K resistance. Stablecoin liquidity down to...
View original →Bitcoin Breaks $86,000 as Binance Reserves Raise a Warning Flag
Bitcoin smashes $86K as $367M in shorts get liquidated in 24 hours. Binance reserves jumped 55K BTC since July—potential selling pressure building. ETF flows versus exchange supply will determine...
View original →U.S. Crypto Regulation Shifts from Congress to Agencies: What CLARITY’s Setback Means for Bitcoin
Senate kills CLARITY Act—60-vote threshold missed, crypto regulation now shifts to agency rulemaking. Bitcoin shrugs it off: commodity status and spot ETF access insulate BTC from the regulatory...
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