Ecoinometrics tracks the signals that matter most for Bitcoin investors: ETF demand, market structure, macro conditions, and risk.
accuracy score 67.3 on BTC over 1,111 BTC calls · 2,014 days of data · rank 19 of 141 BTC analysts (top 13.5% of the pool) · top 1.27% of an estimated 1,500 BTC analysts worldwide · v20r-multi-sparsepen-strong-ss12m-20261012, computed Nov 11, 2026 · Methodology →
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked 1,111 directional calls on BTC by @ecoinometrics on X since Jan 2021: ranked #19 of 141 analysts scored on BTC by accuracy — in the Top 5% of an estimated 1,500 BTC analysts worldwide (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Relative view by default: ecoinometrics’s calls are mostly nuanced, so each day is read against their usual tone.
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @ecoinometrics to submit corrections.
Hover the chart to read the thesis of that period · click a day to pin it
Bitcoin is testing its 200-day moving average and given the trend in ETF outflows, it is likely to fail this test. https://t.co/lgGUFut2iJ
View original →For a Bitcoin drawdown this deep, our historical model suggests a total duration of roughly 1 to 1.5 years. We're already 390 days into the current drawdown, and Bitcoin is still far from recovering its previous high. That historical timetable is starting to look optimistic. https://t.co/ndusFgcMk7
View original →Bitcoin's recovery is in danger. • BTC is just 7% above its 200-day moving average. • That cushion can disappear in two bad trading days. • ETF outflows are accelerating. The Nasdaq is tanking. Lose the 200-day average and Bitcoin's recovery is back to square one. https://t.co/zMibiTByzd
View original →What actually moves Bitcoin: • ETF buying and corporate buying both help • For the same amount of Bitcoin, ETF demand has a much larger effect on monthly returns • Treasury headlines matter less than the ETF bid https://t.co/FRw9EeYJdM
View original →Bitcoin ETF demand has changed regime: • Late October's inflows faded in just a few days • Flows have now flipped to strong outflows • When flows look like this, Bitcoin's daily returns have usually been negative https://t.co/gLCqstjtmq
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