accuracy score 52.4 on BTC over 37 BTC calls · 411 days of data · rank 117 of 141 BTC analysts (top 83.0% of the pool) · top 7.80% of an estimated 1,500 BTC analysts worldwide · v20r-multi-sparsepen-strong-ss12m-20261012, computed Nov 6, 2026 · Methodology →
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked 37 directional calls on BTC by @carmelo_alemán on CryptoQuant since Apr 2025: ranked #117 of 141 analysts scored on BTC by accuracy — in the Top 10% of an estimated 1,500 BTC analysts worldwide (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Absolute view by default: Carmelo_Alemán states bull / bear plainly (63% of directional calls are outright).
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @carmelo_alemán to submit corrections.
Hover the chart to read the thesis of that period · click a day to pin it
Bitcoin’s rally has a problem: it relies too heavily on futures
Bitcoin's 5% surge to $81K driven by $2.3B derivatives inflow—OI jumped 9.24% while spot capital added just 0.03%. $207M in shorts liquidated as leverage ratio spiked 8.29% in two...
View original →Bitcoin Points Lower: Four Metrics Confirm Structural Weakness
BTC has fallen from May 11, when it traded near $82,349, to the $58,150 support area, a decline of about -29.39%. The correction developed in two phases: first from May 11 to June...
View original →Bitcoin Enters a Risk Zone: Broken Supports and MVRV Near a Critical Point
BTC crashes 6.13% to $59K, breaking two key supports in a single session. MVRV at 1.11 threatens to slip below 1—aggregate market staring at unrealized losses. $54,879 support aligns with mining...
View original →New Risk of a Bitcoin Price Collapse
The idea has spread across social media that Bitcoin is falling sharply because Strategy sold 32 BTC, recorded on CryptoQuant on May 31. It was a symbolic sale: around $2.5M at...
View original →More Than $40 Billion Leave BTC as Humpback Whales Accelerate Their Selling
Whales dump 612K BTC as $41B exits realized cap since January. Humpback wallets (10K+ BTC) driving spot selling pressure while market shifts to leverage-dependent structure. BTC down 20% as spot...
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