Called $ETH bearish on Oct 8, 2025: $ETH fell 64% over the next 9 months.
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Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked the directional calls on AAVE by @Trader_XO on X since Mar 2024: not yet scored on AAVE (as of Nov 11, 2026).
5 AAVE calls on record, a thin history.
Relative view by default: fewer than 30 AAVE calls or days on record.
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @Trader_XO to submit corrections.
Called $ETH bearish on Oct 8, 2025: $ETH fell 64% over the next 9 months.
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$BTC - Update With price having spent several weeks above the 365-day VWAP and 50-week MA, prolonged acceptance back below both would be far from constructive. Arguably, the time to turn bearish was last Q4. Near-term structure remains weak, but as someone looking to build longer-term Bitcoin exposure, I'd welcome lower prices (selfish I know) Show me improving structure and key levels being reclaimed. For now, that means weekly and monthly closes back above the 50-week MA ... Weekly chart - were at a key significant macro mid level - and I've repeatedly highlighted the weekly Stoch RSI rolling over as a reason for caution, not a signal of renewed upside momentum. It's a simple framework, outlined across recent tweets (see the previous ones under this thread) respect the structure, recognise the loss of momentum and let price confirm the turn... right hand side of momentum and I'll step in again... 60-80k - Looks like a range, trades like a range then it probably is a _ _ _ _ _
View original →Wanted to see a move up during Fridays sessions which never came… and went flat into the weekend as I rarely hold any perps plays over the weekend.. Last hour or so price pushing down to 73s - I’m not rushing into any swing longs yet, most of my trades the last week or so have been tactical and session based - In terms of the week ahead - once again wanting to see how Mondays range develops… I get the impression price will ebb and flow both ways with sharp moves across indices / equities as well as bitcoin… Overall being defensive and selective - still of the opinion that sharp aggressive rallies wouldn’t come as a surprise fuelled by short squeezes = likely to be an opportunity to sell for a rotation / trade back down again… Good luck with the week ahead!
View original →$BTC Exhibit C - The bands... (as confluence) Price finding sellers which was confluent with daily 12/25 bands ... in line with stacked sells overnight (see third image) and just beneath the htf range lows... aka lower high Personally closed the majority of the short here into the 50w MA Back to ltf and contemplating a probable long if we take out the sept fomc lows and get a good enough reaction to switch long again for few thousand points higher... Decent book depth for now (what matters is how price trades into them and should the bids not get pulled - the ladder helps - delta as well)... so ideally would want to see if forced sellers / liqs absorbed... Acceptance below those lows and the inability to absorb probable liquidations around sept fomc low = flushes lower... Just a matter of reacting... If none of that makes sense just draw an 8k wide monthly order block and call it support Cheers
View original →$BTC Another backtest of the 50w MA and 365d rolling vwap Bull markets = price stays above - very short lived below Below = well... I just consider lower prices a gift to buy value... Between here and 73k are significant levels... for any sustained price action higher - but as is the case and has been since the highs in Sept - sellers remain in control ... p.s - recall what I've stated about the weekly stoch as well several weeks ago... rolling over = isnt bullish momentum... consolidation/corrective - maybe...
View original →$BTC Weekly chart See previous tweet for notes and reference...and the one before that in terms of weekly stoch for momentum... Key zone around here imo confluent with the 50w MA and 365d rolling vwap - also lines up with the 12/21/25 weekly EMA's If we start trading through this zone here with no snapback / then I think the play for the remainder of Q4 leans towards building a much bigger accumulation base within this 60s-80s range... which has been my main scenario and one that I've enjoyed trading. HTF spot play = looking to keep adding to spot over the coming months - Bottoming process takes time - plus the bands arent fully aligned yet imo... and I'm not a big fan of the current shorter term macro outlook for Q4 But with that comes opportunity...
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