NeutralBZBrent Crude OilBrent Crude OilCLWTI Crude OilWTI Crude Oil
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WTI 87 Brent 95 They're gaslighting us again aren't they?
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Macro PM | Policy Advisor 46K on SeekingAlpa Leave no rock unturned. Fiscal endgame meets multipolar world. As Babylon burns, we'll light the cigars.
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked the directional calls on BZ by @SamKovX on X since Mar 2025: not yet scored on BZ (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Relative view by default: fewer than 30 BZ calls or days on record.
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @SamKovX to submit corrections.
Hover the chart to read the thesis of that period · click a day to pin it
WTI 87 Brent 95 They're gaslighting us again aren't they?
View original →I continue to think we might short term have to eat shit on the oil long. As long as Brent >90 and WTI >80 by end of week, I have no reason to start reviewing the positions. I'm not about to get cute and get whipsawed by trying to time it perfectly zigzagging in and out. Risk management is important here. I think they're totally fucking with us, and that it is just a test of resilience, but that doesn't mean you need to torch your portfolio in the process. As Soros says, it's not how often you're right or wrong, it's how much you make when you're right, and how much you lose when you're wrong. For the time being: we're wrong. Of course it's a sequencing thing and bulls got their victory laps, bears got theirs, but it's a question of when and how you exit. Our stop losses locked in about a 1.2% loss of portfolio value. Those same positions if held would have cost the pf 5%. I got to rebuild positions lower, cut gross exposure, and force myself to think about other positions. Got to rebuild some BNO and USO positions which we can be a little more nimble with. We were out of Parex (PXT) at $27.9. (got in $27.2) So failed trade but no cost. Stock is $20 now. Got out of $YPF at $50. Also got in at $50. Got out of $PBR at $19.9 (average all in cost of $21), it's $18.5 now. The other side of how much you win when you're right, is how much you lose when you're wrong. Also I don't see a world where today's rally is healthy when NVDA is down 6%
View original →Invariably we’re gonna now see Brent retest $100, and flush $98-99. If that is the bottom and we reclaim $105 by week end. then we’re back to the races. If not $90. There is chance for pain in the trade in November.
View original →Brent crude oil rn be like https://t.co/aYMAsrm0KL
View original →Expecting sideways chop in WTI and Brent. Could see WTI go down to $97 into elections. Brent could go to $112. Below that the chart would be telling us something that us bulls don't wanna hear.
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