accuracy score 53.3 on BTC over 69 BTC calls · 908 days of data · rank 112 of 141 BTC analysts (top 79.4% of the pool) · top 7.47% of an estimated 1,500 BTC analysts worldwide · v20r-multi-sparsepen-strong-ss12m-20261012, computed Nov 11, 2026 · Methodology →
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked 69 directional calls on BTC by @MAC_D on CryptoQuant since Sep 2022: ranked #112 of 141 analysts scored on BTC by accuracy — in the Top 10% of an estimated 1,500 BTC analysts worldwide (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Relative view by default: MAC_D’s calls are mostly nuanced, so each day is read against their usual tone.
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @MAC_D to submit corrections.
Hover the chart to read the thesis of that period · click a day to pin it
Bitcoin: Rising Short-Term Holder Losses Amid Declining Exchange Inflows
Loss-making STH inflows crash 70% to 9,900 BTC as Bitcoin hits a new low. STH SOPR sits at 0.99, so sellers still dump at a loss. Sell pressure is easing.
View original →Bitcoin: Short-Term Holders Approach Break-Even as Key On-Chain Support Comes Into Focus
STH SOPR sits at 1.0 as Bitcoin slides on the Binance hack. Short-term holder profit margins are collapsing fast. $75,600 cost basis is the line to buy.
View original →Bitcoin: Comparing Historical Bull Market Drawdowns with Current Price Levels
Bitcoin drops 7.61% from $87,027 to $80,404. The pullback matches last cycle's 7.58% average drawdown. The historical 14.39% mean points to a $74,500 floor.
View original →BTC Correction: Weak Spot Demand and Declining Open Interest
Bitcoin open interest sheds 10% to $26B as futures traders back off. Spot demand stays negative and Coinbase Premium sits red. ETF holdings keep climbing; $69K is the line.
View original →BTC Spot Demand Recovery and Divergence in U.S. Demand
Spot demand jumps 81K BTC in one week as Bitcoin pushes toward $85K. Apparent Demand still sits at -101K BTC. Coinbase Premium stays negative, so U.S. buyers aren't chasing.
View original →