NeutralSPYS&P 500S&P 500NVDANVIDIANVIDIA
Yesterday on
$NVDA is underperforming the $SPY since Trump got elected... https://t.co/P61VlNmgId
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Senior Equity Analyst at ByteTree | CFA Charterholder | Focused on quality investing | Views my own, not investment advice.
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked the directional calls on SPY by @WinderKit on X since Sep 2026: not yet scored on SPY (as of Nov 11, 2026).
2 SPY calls on record, a thin history.
Relative view by default: fewer than 30 SPY calls or days on record.
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @WinderKit to submit corrections.
Hover the chart to read the thesis of that period · click a day to pin it
$NVDA is underperforming the $SPY since Trump got elected... https://t.co/P61VlNmgId
View original →After days like yesterday, and given it's Halloween, it's good to remember that the Nasdaq ($QQQ) is in a bull market that has lasted, almost unbroken, since 2009. In that time, it has gone from a 1x sales multiple to 6.6x. And the FCF yield, that was 7% in 2016, is now below 2.5%. The dividend yield of the S&P 500 ($SPY) is 1%, while govt bonds give you 5%. The market is at record levels of concentration, only seen at the peak of previous well-known manias. And the World Index ($ACWI) has never been so concentrated in US stocks, so major index funds offer little diversification/protection. The CAPE ratio is at 40x. I could go on. I say it's good to remember these things, so when the cacophony of dip buyers emerges, remember that when the next big bear market comes, there could be truly brutal declines that take years to play out. A nice quote I heard is that the secret to success in investing is surviving the first thirty years. Cutting losses is hard, but essential, in the quest for survival. Stay safe out there.
View original →Staples are an effective hedge against falling tech at present. $XLK and $XLP, both relative to $SPY When tech (red) falls relative to the index, staples (blue) rise. https://t.co/Hii6GTsSws
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