Called $XAU bullish on Oct 18, 2023: $XAU rose 169% in 27 months.
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Author of Broken Money & The Stolguard Incident. Investor with a blended engineering/finance background. GP @egodeathcapital. Director at Bakkt & @Swan.
Cite asCryptoQuant has tracked the directional calls on STRC by @LynAldenContact on X since Jan 2021: not yet scored on STRC (as of Nov 11, 2026).
Other assets covered (14)
1 STRC call on record, a thin history.
Relative view by default: fewer than 30 STRC calls or days on record.
Sentiment timeline shows relative sentiment within this analyst's history. A perma-bull showing 8 bullish : 2 bearish in a bear market sets that as their baseline. If you notice any errors, claim @LynAldenContact to submit corrections.
Called $XAU bullish on Oct 18, 2023: $XAU rose 169% in 27 months.
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STRC back up to $98, basically in the par zone. https://t.co/PcvBsp29b3
View original →@toocryptotoquit @stephanlivera @Excellion Longterm, MSTR benefits when there is demand and confidence in its preferreds, which includes maintaining a USD reserve within prior guidance by the company. Especially STRC, since dividends ratchet up the longer it trades far below par, which are paid by MSTR.
View original →I think optics would be to the upside. -If they maintain an average 30 month dividend USD reserve (at the midpoint of their previously-guided 24-36 year range), then spending 3-6 months of the reserve to buy STRC during a 10%+ liquidation event would be accretive. Maintaining a USD reserve is dilutive as a baseline, but it builds confidence and resilience, and it can be accretive if it is built during good times and (partially) deployed during rough times. And how good would MSTR and STRC investors feel on days like today if there was a 24-36 month USD reserve as previously guided vs a 7 month one? It gives more optionality for these days. -Monitoring the space for leverage and products built on top of STRC (which is not easy since part of it is opaque) may help management determine certain variables like how big of a reserve to have, how likely the risk of some sort of liquidation event seems to be, what their intended response would be, etc. And understanding how much leverage does exist or could exist on STRC can also help when it comes to management communicating about STRC's expected volatility. If you've got a big reserve and assess there to be minimal leverage on STRC, then there's a lot of firepower relative to the risk surface to keep it semi-stable. If you've got a small reserve at a time when leverage is building up on STRC, then the risk of a confidence-harming volatility event rises. It's why I paired both questions together: https://t.co/Q8iW1xouI6
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